On forecasting franchise success

Nick, Is there any way of determining the success of a new franchise or franchise location?

Gene

Gene,

There are really only two means of predicting performance in this industry, and neither one can be banked on.

The first is the franchisor's earnings claims if provided in the UFOC. Roughly 20% of franchisors offer earnings claims for you to consider, so you have an 8 out of 10 chance of not be privy to those numbers. Why? Most franchisors really don't want to expose reality in the system. Not a great endorsement? You're right! Most franchisors do not provide such claims as they are not able, or not willing, to meet the guidelines for such disclosure. Therefore, they tend to leave such examination to you as a prospect by means of performance testing #2. That means carefully "getting to know" and then questioning a number of franchisees concerning their individual experiences and performance. Unfortunately, there is no clear path for knowing what "your" location might experience.

Best regards,

Nick